Updated as of 12:30 AM Saturday, February 9th
COLUMBUS, Ohio -- It's back! Returning for a third year, we present our Division I Central District tournament seeding guide. This is our most comprehensive report yet, as we unveil brand new metrics that make this more accurate than ever before.
Grouping every area team from Division I to Division IV in tiers, we applied points for each team in each tier. For example, a win over Pickerington Central counts for 21 points, while a win over New Albany counts for 6 points.
While we presented the first edition of the Strength of Record metric last season that measured wins only, we have included an "Impact Loss" metric that subtracts the difference in the point values between a higher tiered team that lost to a lower tiered team.
For example, Grove City's tier value is 9 points. The Greyhounds lost earlier this season to Lancaster, whose tier value is 3 point. That loss for Grove City takes 6 points off its total strength of record for the season.
This loss metric truly evaluates the totality of a team's path and gives this guide as accurate of an outlook as possible. If a team has beaten nothing but low quality opponents and has a bad loss to a team much lower than them, this metric accounts for that.
This metric also takes into account wins and losses to teams in lower divisions. If a Division II team has a value of 18 points, a Division I win over them counts for 9 points. This also works when going the other way, as a loss to a Division II team with a value of 3 points becomes very impactful when that team has a converted Division I value of 1.5 points.
There hasn't been anything quite like this before, and we are very happy to share it with the rest of the area.
Take that for data! Let's dig into the results. Below our Strength of Record rankings, we have our adjusted seedings on how we would the seed the district tournament.
(scroll to the end of the table to see the total SOR values)
|Rank||Team||Record||Ranked Win Points||Total SOR||Tier||Point Value|
|4||Olentangy Liberty||16-4||24||183||Near Elite||18|
|5||Pickerington North||16-4||24||157||Near Elite||18|
|6||Hilliard Davidson||15-4||14||122||Near Elite||18|
|9||Upper Arlington||14-5||7||98.5||Very Good||15|
|16||Canal Winchester||17-3||5||84.5||Very Good||15|
|19||Walnut Ridge||15-4||12||67.5||Very Good||15|
|20||Westerville Central||9-12||6||66||Below Average||6|
|24||New Albany||7-13||6||45||Below Average||6|
|28||Central Crossing||7-14||2.5||34||Below Average||6|
|30||Worthington Kilbourne||7-12||3||28.5||Below Average||6|
|43||Licking Heights||7-12||0||6||Below Average||6|
|47||Franklin Heights||2-18||0||0||Very Bad||0|